Price elasticity of demand for water supply
Client: Utah Department of Natural Resources- Water Resource Division
Location: Washington and Kane Counties, Utah
Faced with a burgeoning population in a water resource-constrained geography, the State of Utah commissioned The Balmoral Group to estimate price elasticity of demand for water against a backdrop of $1.7 billion in proposed capital expenditures.
The project included data collection, quality control, econometric modelling across three sectors (residential, commercial and agricultural), three markets (Southwest Utah, Salt Lake City area, and the rest of Utah), eleven different rate tier structures, and elasticity of impact fees as well as price and income elasticity of water demand. Extensive literature review was conducted to support use of both OLS (Ordinary Least Squares) and IV (Instrumental variable) models. Utility billing was collected for more than 100,000 households across three years to estimate price and income elasticity for distinct geographic and socioeconomic tranches (resulting in datasets of more than 2 million observations). Extensive analysis was conducted to test for structural differences between markets, assess outliers, evaluate various functional forms and modeling approaches, and to assemble the data (Kruskal-Wallis, Mann-Whitney-Wilcox, ANOVA testing and others).